Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease

BACKGROUND: Neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are prevalent and debilitating in Alzheimer's disease (AD). Existing pharmacologic treatments are often ineffective and associated with serious adverse events. Identifying modifiable risk factors (MRFs) is critical for prevention and treatment. METHODS: Capitalizing on data from 14,497 individuals with AD from the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) database, we examined longitudinal associations between modifiable risk factors, APOE genotype and NPI-Q-assessed NPS using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for demographics. RESULTS: Diabetes, alcohol consumption, smoking, and TBI were associated with an increased risk of specific NPS in AD. APOE{varepsilon}4 carrier status was linked to multiple NPS, showing a dose-response relationship. Education, LDL-C, and corrective lenses were protective; hypertension showed no associations. CONCLUSION: These findings strongly suggest that individual MRFs are associated with specific NPS in line with a complex etiology underlying these symptoms. Early detection and management of vascular, lifestyle and sensory factors could reduce NPS.

Using data from a randomized clinical trial, we examined whether daily biofeedback training that modulates heart rate oscillations is associated with changes in microstructural brain texture in Alzheimer's disease signature cortical (ADSC) and hippocampal regions. Younger and older adults were randomly assigned to one of two daily biofeedback practices for five weeks: slow-paced breathing designed to increase heart rate oscillations (Osc+) or self-selected strategies aimed at decreasing oscillations (Osc-). Intervention effects were observed in both ADSC and hippocampus regions and were confined to a composite texture factor dominated by uniformity and entropy. Across regions, effects were expressed primarily as Time x Condition interactions, indicating differential texture trajectories between Osc+ and Osc-. In the hippocampus, this pattern was further qualified by a Time x Condition x Age Group interaction, reflecting more pronounced effects in older adults, whereas younger adults showed no reliable texture modulation. Partial least squares correlation analyses further demonstrated that training-related texture changes in the left hippocampus, right fusiform gyrus, and right entorhinal cortex covaried with concurrent changes in plasma AD-related biomarkers, with tau- and p-tau related measures contributing most strongly to the multivariate association. Together, these findings suggest that HRV biofeedback may selectively influence specific dimensions of brain microstructural texture and that such changes are meaningfully coupled with plasma AD-related biomarker profiles.

PURPOSE: Alzheimer disease (AD) is associated with cognitive impairment, brain atrophy, and elevated amyloid-beta and tau. The study aimed to characterize regional atrophy associated with elevated amyloid-beta and tau, as measured by [18F]florbetapir (FBP) and [18F]flortaucipir (FTP) positron emission tomography (PET), respectively, and determine whether combining PET and atrophy data improves the prediction of cognitive impairment. METHODS: Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative data (n = 381) were retrospectively analyzed. PET results were correlated with cortical thickness, gray matter (GM) volumes, Mini-Mental State Examination, and Montreal Cognitive Assessment. Linear/logistic regression and area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate for significant correlations and compare performances in distinguishing cognitive impairment, respectively. RESULTS: Incremental loss of cortical thickness and GM volume was observed from FBP-/FTP- (n = 205) to single PET-positive (FBP+/FTP-, n = 133; FBP-/FTP+, n = 5) and FBP+/FTP+ (n = 38) groups, particularly in the temporal and parietal lobes. FBP+/FTP+ showed the most severe cortical thickness loss in the entorhinal cortex, temporal lobe GM atrophy, and cognitive impairment. Adding brain atrophy as the third variable resulted in higher odds ratios and improved AUCs for cognitive impairment, with FBP+/FTP+/temporal GM or entorhinal cortical atrophy+ demonstrating the strongest associations with cognitive impairment. CONCLUSION: A multimodal approach combining PET and MRI may help improve the assessment of cognitive impairment in AD.

Background. Tobacco smoke exposure, quantified by serum cotinine, is associated with cardiovascular, metabolic, and sleep-related health risks. The relationship between biomarker-verified tobacco smoke exposure and objectively measured, free-living wrist-worn ambient light patterns has not been examined in a nationally representative U.S. adult sample. Methods. We analyzed NHANES 2011-2014 cross-sectional data from 6,937 adults aged >20 years with valid serum cotinine and wrist-worn Physical Activity Monitor (PAM) ambient light data. Seven light outcomes were modeled using survey-weighted linear regression with log2(cotinine+1) as the continuous exposure across four covariate adjustment levels. Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR) correction was applied across the 7 outcomes within each model. Results. In Model 2 (adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, poverty-income ratio, BMI, and survey cycle; N = 6,350), higher serum cotinine was associated with significantly higher nighttime light (beta = +0.024, 95% CI: 0.010, 0.038; p-FDR = 0.014) and lower evening light (beta = -0.031, 95% CI: -0.055, -0.008; p-FDR = 0.042). In exploratory behavioral models without alcohol (Model 3a; N = 5,766), both nighttime and evening associations remained FDR-significant. After additional adjustment for alcohol, which substantially reduced the sample due to 37.6% missingness (Model 3b; N = 3,866), the nighttime association attenuated below the FDR threshold, while the evening association remained FDR-significant. Categorical analyses showed progressively higher nighttime light across cotinine groups, and a hypothesis-generating sex interaction was identified (p-interaction = 0.001). Conclusions. Higher serum cotinine concentrations were associated with higher nighttime and lower evening ambient light after sociodemographic adjustment. Attenuation after behavioral adjustment and the cross-sectional design preclude causal inference. Longitudinal studies with formal mediation analyses are needed to clarify the temporal ordering and mechanisms linking tobacco smoke exposure, smoking-related behaviors, and personal light-dark cycle patterns.

Age-related hearing loss is a leading modifiable risk factor for dementia and is increasingly recognized as a non-motor feature of Parkinson's disease (PD). The apolipoprotein E (APOE) E4 allele is the strongest genetic risk factor for Alzheimer's disease and is associated with cognitive decline in PD, yet its relationship to hearing loss remains unclear. Therefore, we examined the independent and interactive effects of PD status and APOE E4 carrier status on age-related hearing loss using a validated web-based speech-in-noise (SIN) assessment in 239,620 23andMe Research Institute participants without PD and 4,361 PD cases. Generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS) showed that both PD and APOE E4 independently exacerbated age-related hearing decline, with speech reception thresholds (SRTs) worsening non-linearly with advancing age, but without evidence of synergistic interaction. However, longitudinal analyses in a subcohort completing at least two assessments (1,434 PD cases; 36,242 controls) using GAMLSS mixed models showed a significant three-way interaction between PD status, APOE E4, and age2, such that SIN hearing loss accelerated more steeply with age in APOE E4 carriers with PD. Males and individuals with lower educational attainment also exhibited worse SIN hearing loss. These results identify APOE E4 carriers with PD as a priority population for hearing screening and intervention, and support the integration of SIN assessments into routine PD care to detect hearing decline that may compound cognitive and communicative burden in aging.

Introduction: Aphasia is an acquired language disorder with a significant negative functional impact. Much of the research on aphasia has focused on word-level language comprehension and production. Further evaluation of discourse-level tasks, both at behavioral and neural levels, will allow for an ecologically valid understanding of the functional implications of language impairment in this population. Method: This study evaluated bilateral frontal, temporal, and parietal cortical activity during computer-based narrative production in 14 young neurotypical individuals, 17 individuals with post-stroke aphasia, and 15 age-matched neurotypical participants using functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS). Oxygenated hemoglobin (HbO) was measured during narrative production following short video clips and compared to HbO during counting aloud. In addition, behavioral measures quantifying in-task performance were correlated with averaged HbO values. Results: Young neurotypical individuals showed greater cortical activity in bilateral language regions for narrative production compared to counting aloud. In contrast, people with aphasia showed positive condition-related effects in the right frontal ROI and the age-matched group showed positive condition-related effects in the left frontal and right precentral ROIs. Each group showed different patterns in relationships between cortical activity and discourse performance measures. Conclusion: Overall, young participants showing more consistent condition-related effects for narrative discourse production than individuals with aphasia and age-matched controls. This study shows the potential for fNIRS to evaluate cortical activity for ecologically valid language tasks in individuals with post-stroke aphasia.

Background Slow walking in older adults with mild parkinsonian signs (MPS) is a complex, multifactorial phenomenon arising from the cumulative burden of subclinical age-associated pathologies. This decline reflects age-associated neuronal loss in the dopaminergic system. A recent study suggests that levodopa treatment may enhance gait parameters. The goal of this small pilot study is to explore the effect of levodopa treatment on slow walking gait in older adults with MPS. Method This study was a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical pilot trial. Slow walking older adults without clinical evidence of PD were recruited and randomized into 2 groups (active treatment group or placebo control group). Participants in the active group were pre-treated with carbidopa for three days, followed by carbidopa-levodopa for seven days. Spatiotemporal gait parameters were evaluated at baseline and post-intervention. Results Gait factor analysis identified three main factors explaining gait characteristics at baseline, which included gait efficiency, gait rhythmicity, and gait turning.No effect of treatment was observed in the placebo group (p=0.111, p=0.616), no group difference was observed between the placebo and active group at baseline ({beta}=0.310, p=0.547), but a strong trend for a treatment-related increase was observed in the active treatment group ({beta}=0.506, p=0.076). Conclusion Our preliminary data suggest that sustained levodopa treatment (one week) in conjunction with carbidopa pre-treatment and concomitant carbidopa supplementation is feasible in slow walking older adults with MPS. Moreover, the data indicate potential efficacy, showing improvements in cadence, and step durations.

Background and Objectives: Older adults with epilepsy are at increased risk for Alzheimer's disease (AD), yet the mechanisms underlying this association remain poorly understood. We applied a validated AD neuroimaging signature to older adults with epilepsy to examine 1) whether older adults with epilepsy mirror AD-related changes, 2) associations with clinical, cognitive, and plasma biomarker outcomes, and 3) utility for identifying subgroups at heightened risk for cognitive decline. Our multicenter, prospectively enrolled cohort allowed for direct examination of differences in AD signatures between those with early-onset and late-onset unexplained epilepsy. Methods: Participants included 449 older adults: 87 with focal epilepsy from the multicenter Brain Aging and Cognition in Epilepsy (BrACE) cohort (age=66.10 [SD=6.86], including early-onset (<55 years at seizure onset) and late-onset ([&ge;]55 years at seizure onset) epilepsy); 362 from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), including cognitively unimpaired (CU) healthy controls and individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or AD dementia. An AD signature was derived from regional cortical thickness and hippocampal volume weighted by their sensitivity to AD-related neurodegeneration in prior work. Associations between the AD signature, epilepsy characteristics, plasma biomarkers ({beta}-amyloid 42/40, phosphorylated tau [pTau217, pTau181], neurofilament light chain [NfL]), and cognition were evaluated in BrACE. Results: Participants with epilepsy demonstrated more AD-like signatures compared to ADNI CU controls ({beta}= -0.43, p<0.001), reflecting reduced thickness/volume in AD-vulnerable regions. This effect was stronger among early-onset ({beta}= -0.57) versus late-onset ({beta}= -0.26) epilepsy. In BrACE, the AD signature correlated with NfL ({beta}= -0.30, p=0.050), memory performance ({beta}= 0.30, p=0.006), and predicted greater odds of cognitive impairment specifically among those with early-onset, but not late-onset, epilepsy (interaction p=0.043). Further, among those with early-onset epilepsy, the AD signature significantly improved identification of cognitive impairment over and beyond the effects of plasma AD biomarkers (p=0.041). Findings were similar when examining the effects of epilepsy duration rather than epilepsy onset age. Discussion: AD neuroimaging signatures may help identify clinically meaningful subgroups among older adults with epilepsy, particularly when integrated with AD biomarkers. Findings support a multimodal framework for assessing AD-related risk in epilepsy and highlight interactive effects of epilepsy chronicity and AD-related processes that can influence cognitive outcomes.

In February 2026, the FDA announced that a single pivotal phase 3 (P3) trial would become the new default standard for drug approval - a regulatory direction that had been legally enabled since the FDA Modernization Act of 1997. This announcement has strategic, scientific, and economic implications for drug developers, contract research organizations (CROs), and biotech investors. We argue that the expansion of this framework, originally reserved for various niche submissions, represents a paradigm change, dramatically increasing the value of rigorous early phase (P1 and P2) trial design, requiring sponsors to establish both statistical efficacy signals and mechanistic biological understanding before entering phase 3. Using a CNS indication cost model, we show that single P3 approval can reduce total development expenditure from approximately $447 million over 14 years to $297 million over 12 years - a savings of $150 million and providing two years of additional commercial runway for a modeled CNS drug. Case examples including lecanemab, omaveloxolone, and tofersen illustrate how biomarker-informed early phase strategies can establish the confirmatory evidence necessary for single-trial approval. We provide practical guidance for maximizing the value of P1 and P2 under this evolving framework.

High placebo response is an obstacle in developing drugs to treat agitation in Alzheimer's disease (AAD), a prevalent and burdensome symptom. However, it has proved challenging to develop actionable models of placebo response that 1) can be applied prospectively, requiring only information available at screening or baseline, 2) yield strategies for reducing placebo response without equally depressing drug response, and 3) show generalizability across trials. Here, we first investigated placebo response in AAD at the trial level using meta-regression applied to 23 clinical trials. Meta-regression identified several factors associated with increased placebo response, but most of these factors were non-specific such that they predicted improvements in drug response as well. We therefore turned to individual level clinical trial datasets and applied causal modeling to predict which participants would have high placebo response relative to predicted drug response. We successfully built and validated the causal model across two independent clinical trials of risperidone and haloperidol at the level of individual patients (ability to predict subsequent improvement on drug or placebo). Crucially, we also found efficacy improvements in the overall trial through in silico exclusion/screen failing of high placebo-predicted subjects. We further characterized features most associated with placebo response to improve explainability and, lastly, validated the effect of these features at the trial level in clinical trials of galantamine, an acetylcholinesterase inhibitor (hence in a different class of drugs than those in the other two trials used). Taken together, we have developed and applied a causal modeling framework for reducing placebo response and increasing trial-level efficacy in neuropsychiatry clinical trials using historical trial datasets.

Introduction: Brain-predicted age, estimated from structural MRI data, is a machine-learning biomarker of biological brain aging. Greater brain age gap (BAG) indicates advanced brain aging and is associated with cognitive decline and mortality. Cardiometabolic risk factors, including elevated blood glucose, body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, and cholesterol, increase risk of cognitive impairment and dementia in aging. Their relationship with BAG in severe obesity remains poorly characterized despite increased prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors among this population. Methods: T1-weighted MRI data from 97 adults (BMI 35-73) were used to calculate BAG using ENIGMA and Pyment brain age models. Associations between BAG and HbA1c, BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were examined using multiple linear regression and MM-estimation robust regression, adjusting for age, sex, and race. Post hoc analyses stratified models by clinical HbA1c cutoffs (normoglycemic, prediabetic, diabetic). Results: Higher HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 1.58, p = .014) and BAGPyment (B = 0.93, p = .013) in linear regression models. In robust models, HbA1c remained significantly associated with BAGENIGMA (B = 1.70, p = .002) but not BAGPyment (B = 0.71, p = .13). BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were not associated with BAG in either linear or robust models. HbA1c was associated with greater BAGENIGMA (B = 2.15, p = .01) and BAGPyment (B =1.21, p = .04) in those at or above prediabetic levels and with BAGENIGMA (B = 2.49, p = .047) in those with diabetes. Conclusions: Elevated HbA1c is associated with accelerated brain aging in individuals with severe obesity. BAG was not associated with BMI, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia, which may reflect the restricted BMI range inherent to the sample with severe obesity.

Background: Obesity is globally recognized as a complex, multifactorial chronic disease, with biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors involved in both disease pathogenesis and maintenance. Although previous group-based studies demonstrated involvement of each of these factors, there is large inter-individual variability in the factors contributing to disease development as well as intervention outcomes, causing limited translatability to the individual level. This heterogeneity in treatment effectiveness might be due to differential causal and maintenance factors of obesity. To enable the transition from a one-size-fits-all approach to a more personalized approach for individuals with overweight or obesity, this study aims to investigate if and how the degree of weight loss and changes in daily life behaviour after a combined lifestyle intervention depend on individual baseline profiles comprising of person characteristics, biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors. Methods: This study will include 600 individuals varying in BMI, 200 participants with a healthy BMI (18.5-24.9kg/m2), 200 with overweight (BMI 25.0-29.9kg/m2), and 200 with obesity (BMI [&ge;]30.0kg/m2). For all participants, a comprehensive individual baseline profile is created, including person characteristics, biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors. A clustering method is applied to identify clusters of participants with similar characteristics. Next, we examine if and how these clusters are linked to bodyweight indicators measured at baseline, and how they relate to daily lifestyle behaviour, as measured by ecological momentary assessment (EMA) using a smartphone app and sensor technology (3-week measurements). Individuals with overweight or obesity will be randomized to the intensive lifestyle intervention or a lifestyle information condition, to determine if treatment response can be predicted based on cluster characteristics, how daily lifestyle behaviour changes after an intervention, and how changes in daily lifestyle behaviour relate to treatment response. Discussion: The End of Average study aims to characterize a large set of individuals varying in body weight to predict intervention effectiveness measured as changes in body weight indicators and in daily lifestyle behaviours. If reliable predictors of treatment success can be identified, these can be applied in personalized lifestyle interventions to improve lifestyle behaviour, body weight management and overall health.

Brain-derived tau (BD-tau) is an emerging blood-based biomarker for neurodegeneration, yet there are currently limited well validated BD-tau assays available for research and clinical use. To enhance access to this vital biomarker for neurological disorders including traumatic brain injury (TBI), we developed a novel blood-based immunoassay for BD-tau on the ultra-sensitive Quanterix HD-X platform using Single Molecule Array technology. Analytical validation assessed dilution linearity, specificity, precision, detection limits, and spike recovery, each recording robust metrics in agreement with international expert recommendations. The assay demonstrated robust validation metrics, achieving between-run stability of 95% when analyzing aliquots from six independent plasma and serum samples across five analytical runs. It also showed strong dilution linearity when diluted four-fold and achieved over 90% recovery when spiked with cerebrospinal fluid. Next, we evaluated the clinical utility of the assay in cohorts of individuals with traumatic brain injury (TBI), where strong performances were recorded whether using the 2-step or 3-step assay formats ({rho}= 0.94; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, plasma BD-tau distinguished samples from TBI patients based on time from injury and severity (AUC=0.93). Plasma BD-tau differentiated between favorable and unfavorable functional outcomes in the acute-severe group. Our findings underscore the significant potential of the BD-tau assay as a biomarker for TBI in the severe phase.

Background and Objectives: Arts and cultural engagement may contribute to well-being in later life. However, evidence from longitudinal studies from Asia, including Japan, remains limited. This study examined the association of arts and cultural engagement with subsequent multidimensional well-being among older adults in Japan, one of the fastest-aging countries. Research Design and Methods: This longitudinal study used panel data from 354 individuals aged 60 and older (mean age 74.0 years; 78.6% women) who completed self-administered questionnaires by mail between 2022 and 2024. The PERMA-Profiler was used to assess five multifaceted aspects of psychological well-being: positive emotion, engagement, relationships, meaning, and accomplishment. Frequencies of arts and cultural engagement at baseline were measured for active (e.g., activities by individuals and participation in groups, such as music and painting) and receptive (e.g., visiting museums, galleries, and theaters) forms. Results: Multivariable linear regression analysis, adjusted for the covariates including baseline PERMA scores, showed that higher frequencies of active engagement were positively associated with higher PERMA scores for all domains. Higher frequencies of receptive engagement were associated with the domains of positive emotion, meaning, and accomplishment, but not clearly associated with engagement and relationships. Restricted cubic spline analyses suggested clearer positive frequency-response patterns for active engagement than for receptive engagement. Discussion and Implications: Arts and cultural engagement, both active and receptive forms, was associated with subsequent multiple aspects of well-being in later life. These findings suggest the importance of ensuring access to arts and cultural opportunities for older adults to create, participate, and connect.

Background: Cognitive assessments are sparsely documented in electronic health records (EHRs), limiting scalable detection of cognitive worsening in real-world clinical settings. Methods: We applied a deep neural network optimized for identifying clinical event timing from sparsely labeled gold-standard data (label-efficient incident phenotyping from longitudinal EHR, LATTE) to predict time-to-first sustained cognitive worsening in AD patients from a large healthcare system (2011-2022) with linkage to an AD Research Center registry in a subset. Sustained cognitive worsening was defined as cognitive decline persisting over [&ge;]2 consecutive visits within 3 years. Separate LATTE models were trained with worsening labels from Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR), Mini-Mental Status Examination (MMSE), and Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) scores; semi-supervised learning scaled predictions to larger imputation cohorts lacking sufficient longitudinal scores. We evaluated model performance using average time-specific area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), area between curves (ABC), and Brier scores. To demonstrate clinical utility, we examined whether predicted time-to-worsening differentiated clinically meaningful patient subgroups using competing-risk Cox proportional hazards models accounting for death. Findings: The cohort comprised 27,614 AD patients (65% women, 91% non-Hispanic White, mean [SD] age at start of follow-up 78.76 [9.53] years). In gold-standard cohorts (n: CDR=632, MMSE=710, MoCA=752; remaining patients formed imputation cohorts), LATTE demonstrated robust predictive performance (average time-AUC: CDR 0.816, MMSE 0.694, MoCA 0.710; ABC: CDR 0.067, MMSE 0.293, MoCA 0.078; Brier score: CDR 0.252, MMSE 0.437, MoCA 0.295). APOE-{varepsilon}4 carriers had shorter predicted time-to-worsening compared to non-carriers across all assessments in the imputation cohorts (HRs 1.241-1.376, all p<0.025), and k-means derived patient clusters showed differential time-to-worsening in the overall and imputation cohorts (HRs 0.777-0.908, all p<.001). Interpretation: LATTE enables scalable prediction of sustained cognitive worsening timing, differentiating clinically meaningful patient subgroups. This approach could improve AD clinical monitoring and decision-making in routine care and support targeted clinical trial enrichment.

Background and Objectives: Converging evidence hints at neurodevelopmental effects in genetic frontotemporal degeneration (FTD). In cross-sectional studies, for some genes, young adult FTD variant carriers show differences in brain volumes and cognition compared to familial non-carriers. However, longitudinal trajectories may more sensitively capture FTD-related neurodevelopmental vs. neurodegenerative changes than cross-sectional approaches. This study examined longitudinal trajectories of brain volumes, executive function, and plasma biomarkers in young adult carriers compared to familial non-carriers, as measures of neurodevelopmental and neurodegenerative outcomes of FTD-causing variants. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study comprised participants, aged 18-30 years, from the FTD Prevention Initiative across Europe, Canada, and the USA. Genetic groups included C9orf72 (47%), MAPT (30%), and GRN (23%). Linear mixed-effects models were computed to assess longitudinal outcomes across age between groups, controlling for sex, scanner (for brain volumes), and education (for executive function); random effects accounted for between-subject variability nested within family membership. Results: Variant carriers (n=147) and familial non-carriers (n=113) did not differ in age (mean{+/-}SD, 25.9{+/-}3.2 years), sex (53% female), or number of visits (2.1{+/-}1.7). Young adult C9orf72 repeat expansion carriers exhibited smaller thalamic volumes than non-carriers at the reference age of 26 years (b=-982.8mm3, SE=317.0, p=0.0046, f2=0.32), with relatively stable trajectories across ages 18-30 (i.e., no change over time). Trajectories of rostral anterior cingulate volumes differed in C9orf72 carriers and non-carriers across age, where carriers showed relatively stable trajectories and non-carriers showed age-appropriate declines (b=64.4mm3, SE=29.9, p=0.035, f2=0.07). For MAPT and GRN, there were little to no differences in total brain, cortical, or subcortical volumes between groups and over time. No longitudinal differences were observed between carriers and non-carriers in executive function, or plasma NfL or GFAP for any genetic group. Discussion: C9orf72 repeat expansions were linked to smaller average thalamic volumes and stable trajectories between ages 18 to 30, supporting potential neurodevelopmental origins. The modest evidence supporting an absence of difference in neurodegenerative biomarkers and executive function suggests minimal early neurodegeneration and functional preservation in young adulthood.

Background: Vascular cognitive impairment (VCI) and small vessel disease (SVD) involve many interconnected factors influencing multiple outcomes, also beyond cognitive decline. Bayesian networks (BNs) can help unravel these complex interrelations, which we demonstrate in this proof-of-concept study in the Heart-Brain Connection cohort, including memory-clinic patients with SVD, patients with heart failure, carotid occlusive disease, and reference participants. Methods: We trained BNs and jointly modelled cognitive decline (Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) increase) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over five years as outcomes in relation to multiple demographic and disease factors and emerging imaging and plasma biomarkers, also considering possible non-random dropout. Results: Of 566 individuals (median age 68, 64% men), 134 had MACE and 112 experienced CDR increase. Diagnostic group and baseline cognition were key determinants of both outcomes. The BN identified baseline clinical severity as a non-random dropout source. Plasma biomarkers formed an interconnected subnetwork, linked to demographic and vascular factors, but without direct dependencies with outcomes. The trained BN also provides individualized inference under partial evidence, informing on outcome probabilities. Conclusion: This proof-of-concept study demonstrates how BNs quantify and visualize the dependency structure underlying prognostic heterogeneity in VCI and SVD, including non-random dropout and positioning of emerging biomarkers.

Background: Cognitive impairment in Parkinson's disease (PD) is linked to degeneration of the cholinergic basal forebrain, particularly cholinergic nucleus 4 (Ch4) in the nucleus basalis of Meynert. Structural and diffusion MRI separately detect this degeneration, but few studies have combined these modalities across the PD cognitive spectrum. Methods: We analyzed 92 participants: 14 healthy controls (HC), 35 PD with normal cognition (PD-NC), 33 with mild cognitive impairment (PD-MCI), and 10 with dementia (PDD). For Ch4 and cholinergic nuclei 1, 2, and 3 (Ch1-3) in the medial septal/diagonal band complex, we determined TIV-normalized gray matter density (GMD) and free-water (FW) fraction. We evaluated group differences, cognitive correlations, adjusted multivariable regression, and exploratory ROC discrimination. Results: Ch4 GMD was significantly lower in PDD compared to PD-MCI (p=0.007), PD-NC (p<0.001), and HC (p<0.001). Ch4 GMD was also lower in PD-MCI versus HC (p=0.028); the PD-MCI versus PD-NC difference was not significant after correction (p=0.074). Ch1-3 GMD was lower in PDD versus PD-NC (p=0.008) and HC (p=0.009). Ch4 and Ch1-3 FW were elevated in PDD versus all other groups (all p<0.01). Among PD patients (n=78), MoCA was positively correlated with Ch4 GMD ({rho}=0.49) and Ch1-3 GMD ({rho}=0.42) and negatively correlated with Ch4 FW ({rho}=-0.51) and Ch1-3 FW ({rho}=-0.40; all p<0.001). In the full four-metric model, Ch4 GMD and Ch4 FW were the only independent basal forebrain predictors (Ch4 GMD {beta}=+2.04, p<0.001; Ch4 FW {beta}=-1.46, p=0.005) of MoCA score. The combined Ch4 GMD + Ch4 FW model showed high discrimination for PDD versus non-demented PD (AUC=0.934; optimism-corrected AUC=0.925). Conclusions: Structural and free-water diffusion MRI provide complementary information about Ch4 degeneration in PD. The combined Ch4 model showed promising exploratory discrimination of PDD; validation in larger independent samples is needed.

Background: Post-stroke apathy (PSA) is a common, disabling syndrome with few evidence-based treatment options. We evaluated the safety, feasibility, acceptability, and evidence of effects of a three-day accelerated intermittent theta burst stimulation-repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (iTBS-rTMS) protocol targeting the left dorsomedial prefrontal cortex (dmPFC) in chronic stroke survivors with apathy. Methods: Stroke survivors with symptomatic apathy received open-label iTBS-rTMS at the left dmPFC (21,600 pulses across 36 sessions; 3 treatment days; 12 sessions/day within one week). Safety endpoints included adverse events, neuroradiological findings, and objective cognitive performance. Secondary outcomes included measures of apathy and other neuropsychiatric symptoms as well as psychosocial functioning, including quality of life and caregiver burden. Participants were followed up for one month. Results: Fourteen participants (mean age = 61.8 {+/-} 14.0 years; mean time since stroke = 55.6 {+/-} 31.6 months) completed the iTBS-rTMS treatment course. No serious adverse events occurred. Participants rated the treatment as highly acceptable, and cognitive performance was stable from pre- to post-rTMS with no treatment-related changes on structural MRI. Regarding apathy, participants had significant improvements with moderate to large effect sizes on the Lille Apathy Rating Scale (LARS), on both self (d = 0.78) and caregiver-rated versions (d = 1.28), p<0.05 pretreatment-to-one-month follow-up. In addition, secondary measures of psychosocial function also showed improvement with moderate to large effect sizes (Stroke Specific Quality of Life Scale: d = 0.62; Zarit Burden Interview: d = 0.72), and the Brief Inventory of Psychosocial Function: d = 0.89). Conclusions: In chronic stroke survivors with PSA, accelerated iTBS-rTMS targeting the left dmPFC appears to be safe, feasible, tolerable, and highly acceptable, with preliminary evidence suggesting a potential role in reducing apathy and secondarily promoting improvements in quality of life, caregiver burden, and broader psychosocial function.

Purpose In deprescribing studies, a prescription-free gap is typically used to determine if patients discontinued their treatment. An appropriate gap depends on the typical time between prescriptions during continued use. This work aims to characterise the interval between prescriptions of chronic drugs using different methods for a cohort of older people in primary care in Ireland. Methods The empirical prescription interval was analysed for 38,154 patients for the twenty most common drug classes and the association between covariates and the interval was analysed using a multi-level model. Estimates were also compared to those obtained from the parametric waiting time distribution (pWTD) approach. Results Available covariates had consistent relationships with prescription intervals across drug classes. For example, each additional prescription issue was associated with an increase in the interval by 5.0 (NSAIDs) to 19.7 days ("Other antidepressants"). Full public health cover was associated with a -29.0 day (inhaled adrenergics) to -11.0 day (opioids) change relative to partial cover, while other/private cover had a -17.9 day (benzodiazepines and associated drugs) to -7.1 day (SSRI and SNRIs) change relative to partial cover. The pWTD also produced consistent estimates of the population interval for most drugs. Conclusions The interval varied substantially within drug classes, due to a mixture of patient, practice and unmodelled factors. Variation between practices was effectively explained, with residual variation between patients and within patients. The pWTD approach is useful for describing complex distributions of intervals, and may be more appropriate for inferring a gap than summarising truncated data.